Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.398157 0.465007 0.539905 0.630096 0.735851 0.856043 1.003179
2024-12-29 0.296806 0.384972 0.494803 0.641975 0.834530 1.078605 1.412631
2025-01-05 0.235196 0.327571 0.451254 0.629559 0.881101 1.224908 1.733321
2025-01-12 0.195751 0.288818 0.420940 0.623105 0.926428 1.367459 2.062657
2025-01-19 0.169453 0.262774 0.402130 0.626673 0.982115 1.527574 2.436843
2025-01-26 0.155622 0.252398 0.403664 0.659077 1.083535 1.767691 2.967945
2025-02-02 0.143649 0.242682 0.404047 0.688411 1.182500 2.015591 3.547509
2025-02-09 0.131777 0.231126 0.399314 0.707615 1.265794 2.247042 4.131949
2025-02-16 0.119718 0.217385 0.388684 0.714393 1.327099 2.446921 4.687674
2025-02-23 0.107868 0.202300 0.373487 0.710312 1.367058 2.611991 5.200652
2025-03-02 0.095515 0.184604 0.351152 0.689488 1.371682 2.709852 5.594637
2025-03-09 0.090365 0.179915 0.352495 0.714356 1.468667 2.999450 6.420241
2025-03-16 0.083054 0.170248 0.343384 0.717893 1.524594 3.217565 7.137799
2025-03-23 0.077547 0.163561 0.339427 0.731653 1.604215 3.496959 8.036485
2025-03-30 0.070076 0.151784 0.323465 0.717447 1.620756 3.641820 8.651612
2025-04-06 0.064082 0.142411 0.311394 0.710065 1.651287 3.821540 9.376769
2025-04-13 0.059654 0.135938 0.304807 0.714146 1.708692 4.070677 10.310793
2025-04-20 0.058047 0.135654 0.311973 0.751213 1.849803 4.538081 11.871470
2025-04-27 0.056242 0.134675 0.317395 0.784774 1.987049 5.015642 13.538778
2025-05-04 0.053793 0.131845 0.318099 0.806749 2.098116 5.443176 15.143788
2025-05-11 0.050693 0.127041 0.313449 0.814506 2.173310 5.788483 16.579114
2025-05-18 0.047186 0.120790 0.304481 0.809835 2.214668 6.049555 17.817957
2025-05-25 0.043031 0.112383 0.289084 0.786007 2.200199 6.155841 18.618978